One of the interesting things about moving in and out of the politico-media bubble is to see the extent to which though the world has changed since I was at it full-time, a lot of the political habits I came to reject have not.
David Cameron once described GB as an analog politician in a digital age. Like a lot that DC says, it is neat, makes a point for the media chatterati, but ultimately doesn’t take the debate very far. What he is trying to say is ‘I’m modern, he’s not.’
But my impression of all of the parties, his included, is that the focus on old media remains fairly intense. When outside the bubble, I read the papers less, watch the news less than I did when I was full-time in it. Latterly, even when I was in it, I had reached the view that most time spent actually following the media twists and turns was wasted. Trends mattered. What individual commentators said and wrote did not.
Bill Clinton once said to me ‘the force of the modern media is such that too many decision-makers define their reality according to that day’s noise. It is almost always a mistake.’ He was a great campaigner and like a lot that he said on campaigns, politicians of all the parties could do well to heed that statement as the election nears.
As I have said here several times, it is hugely frustrating that the media want to talk debates, process and polls, and post election tactics, almost to the exclusion of all else, particularly policy. Frustrating but not insurmountable – unless the politicians play into it.
I have just had a quick skim through Labour’s morning media brief (best to know what’s in them whilst not reading them). There are lots of briefings and interviews from leading figures in all the parties. And most play into the processology obsession. I cannot for the life of me work out why politicians meant to be fighting for a majority for their party get drawn, almost more commentator than politician, into playing the media’s ‘what happens if you lose?’ speculation.
I thought GB dealt with hung parliament questions perfectly well at the press conference yesterday. So too did David Cameron on Newsnight when he said he is fighting to win and if he doesn’t he will try to be responsible. Nick Clegg is also wise not to get too drawn on post election options, even if he has them in mind, which of course he does.
But the papers are littered with interviews and briefings from people who ought to know better answering all the ‘what ifs?’and thereby absorbing space that should be given to ‘why us?’ It is utterly counterproductive, inside the beltway stuff at a time the parties should be reaching out to the public.
One exception is David Miliband’s interview in The Guardian which gives reasons why that paper’s readers should vote Labour if they want progressive politics to continue, and not vote Lib Dem. And before anyone asks, no, this is not me saying I would back David as next leader, it is me saying thank God someone did an interview that puts an argument that might make people think twice about flirting with Cleggery and vote Labour instead.
Nick Clegg says he stands for new politics but the ’65 years of failure’ line that is on the opening pages of his manifesto is just a more epic version of running Britain down than the one Cameron does. Labour activists out campaigning on this lovely sunny day (here at least) would do well to take The Guardian with them – and it is not often you hear me say that. But David has given a very strong argument and that is what we need right now.
There is one golden rule that should be applied by all ministers, MPs, candidates and activists between now and May 6 — ‘is what I am saying and doing helping or hindering our efforts to add to the support we already have?’
Nothing else matters. In the Bristol spin room the other night I was struck by how many people from all the parties really did seem to think that media commentary was more important than public reaction. Of course to some extent they are linked. But if there is one lesson from Nick Clegg’s rise during this campaign it is that the public can make their own minds up about what they see and hear. Of course you have to try to fill the space. But the only time that really mattered was the 90 minutes the leaders were up there, and the debates inspired instantly, in people’s homes, workplaces and online.
Indeed the rubbishing Clegg has had in some quarters of the press has served to help nobody but him.
The analysis more likely to hurt him is the one that says that on policy he is less progressive than Labour, shown both by what we have delivered in the past and what we can deliver in the future.
Let the media focus on post-election processology. Yesterday showed – and so does the polling – that the economy remains the number one issue.
No wonder Cameron prefers to talk about the process of the campaign, or the Lib Dems to talk about the Clegg phenomenon. GB may be analog whatever that means. But he is winning on substance in this campaign. And that is where he, and all of his ministers, need to put all their efforts now, rather than worry overly what the papers or the broadcasters say on a day to day basis.
None of this means I won’t keep banging on about the need for the media, especially the broadcasters, to do more on policy and less on process. That is because I believe when we are on policy, Labour are strongest. When we are on style, Cameron and Clegg get it. When we are on politician as commentator, the media win, and the politicians and public lose.
*** I feel a bit bad by tweeting last night that one of my biggest heroes would be coming out for Labour at our health rally today, and that he made Gary Barlow look like small fry. It sparked dozens of guesses as to who it was, and now apparently it is the subjct of phone-in speculation on Five Live. I so hope you won’t be disappointed….
I gave one clue on twitter last night, namely that he was also John Lennon’s hero. I will give another now. Regular visitors here and to my vlog may recall that I have met him at a campaign event in the past. Now sit back and enjoy the show.
*** Buy The Blair Years online and raise cash for Labour http://www.alastaircampbell.org/bookshop.php.
@AC “GB may be analog whatever that means. But he is winning on substance in this campaign. And that is where he, and all of his ministers, need to put all their efforts now, rather than worry overly what the papers or the broadcasters say on a day to day basis.”
Presumably this sort of conclusion is reached as a result of @AC “I have just had a quick skim through Labour’s morning media brief (best to know what’s in them whilst not reading them).”
Happily manny of us inhabiting the real world have reached a different conclusion.
But where is the rally today?
The economy is the real issue of the election. Debt, deficit, cuts and taxes are the things that matter.
Sluggish 0.2% (an estimate) growth helps Labour, but inflation is too high. I think the interest rates will still stay low for months.
Unemployment is not as high as one would expect – thanks to Labour.
The Tories plan to cut public spending in 2010. That would risk the recovery. Will Cameron and Osborne adopt Thatcher´s economic policies and cut public services, cut taxes, cut benefits and cut borrowing faster? Will they let unemployment loose?
The debt was taken for reason = to keep Britain going and to safeguard public services.
David Cameron should state which departments he will cut, something he failed to do in the Newsnight interview.
The neoliberal system is broken. More regulation is needed. State must have a bigger role in the economy. Financial sector must be smaller in UK.
Labour has safe pair of hands when it comes to the economy. Labour will get the recovery right. This fact should clinch the victory to Labour!
Ps. I may be in the minority of one, but I do think that Gordon Brown is convincing when it comes to presentation.
I have been knocking on a lot of doors in the East and West Midlands. And I have to say there are two campaigns going on – the one on the TV and the one here. Yes people know more about Clegg but the so called mania is more like a modest interest. I find when you tell people their policies they can be won over. The Tories have more support for sure but it is not deep. Cameron and Osborne are not popular and they are not convincing people as the campaign goes on. Now thre is no doubt we are less popular than we were and we miss Blair’s charisma and communications skills but I agree if we stay on substance we are ok. I went to get the guardian after I read your blog and I got some of the other papers too. I thought you were talking about Tories and Liberal Democrats commentating but there is a very bad example of it in the Telegraph with Ed BAlls talking about what happens if we don’t win. I agree with you and Bll Clinton … is he the celeb??
It’s not Charles Hawtrey is it? I thought he was dead.
‘Labour has safe pair of hands when it comes to the economy.’
What alternative universe do you live in ? the economy is in the worst state it’s been for over half a century – FACT !
This is due in no small part to 13 years of Labour mismanagement.
Record deficit, rising unemployment, no growth…. it couldn’t be much worse, who their right minds would vote for 5 more years on incompetence. The mess Labour will leave behind will take many years to fix.
as a piss take name of clegg i prefer cleggolas
I was delighted yesterday when I heard on the radio Gordon Brown saying: “jobs, jobs, jobs”.
The great victory of Labour through this recession is that unemployment rise has been relatively low.
Unemployment is hugely destructive. I grew up in Northern Ireland and in the 80s the unemployment was devastating for the province. This fed into the sectarian violence because so many were out of work and, as they say, the devil makes work for idle hands.
In saying “jobs, jobs, jobs” Gordon Brown cuts right through the media babble. He’s not interested in that, he’s interested in issues that matter.
It is my belief that if Gordon Brown and the Labour party sticks with substance and ignores froth they will win the general election.
Dear Alastair
We are an internet radio station that is holding a political debate to be broadcast live on http://www.snyaradio.co.uk
Our youth radio station is run by young people and our event is going to broadcast from South Norfolk Council Chamber on Tuesday 27th April at 10.00 am – 11.30am. The programme will be broadcast again on Thursday 29th April 8.00pm – 10.00pm and again on 3rd ,4th and 5th May at 12.00 midday.
Our High Schools are sending students to ask the questions and our team of young presenters will be hosting the event.
We have representation from Conservative, Liberals, UKIP and Greens but unfortunately none of the Labour representatives are available including our MEP. Could you intervene in this matter and ask someone to attend this high profile, high publicity event to give your party a voice?
(This could be a retired member or a youth member)
Our high publicity event is run by young people who are the voters of the future taking their part in democracy today.
I do hope you will be able to help
Kind regards
Steve Thomas
Again, Alastair, you’re absolutely correct.
Any thoughts along the lines of “if we have a hung parliament then we’ll stay in power with the support of the LibDems” are very misguided indeed.
As is a belief that changing the voting system to an instant run-off arrangement would automatically be to Labour’s electoral advantage.
For, as you allowed me to comment yesterday, what is sauce for a gander is sauce for a goose.
Let’s look at Australia – home to Lynton Crosby and, formerly, Rupert Murdoch, – which has had coalition politics and “1 2 3” ballots for years.
This arrangement has suited the Right very nicely indeed, making it very difficult for Australian Labor to get into government.
Why? The Country party (= a Conservative party) and the Liberal party (= another Conservative party) have been a permanent anti-progressive alliance.
What I do not understand about all this tribal politics is why people remain loyal to the same party. If Cameron could raise the dead there are sections of society that would still not vote for him, and if Gordon Brown slayed the first born of families he would still be popular in the North East etc. This Tri party politics is out of date.
Our Politicians are supposed to represent us and are drawn from our communities but when they show ‘normal’ traits such as greed we throw our hands up in abject horror and condemn. We the public are too righteous….
It is time for the way UK politics works to change and now is the time…
Oops – for Liberal-Country please read Liberal-National.
Sorry.
Memo to self – break the redtop habit – check facts before typing – before pressing “send”.
I agree that the media should focus more on policy, which isn’t quite as sexy as other aspects of the campaign. But, whatever their cause, the choices and scenario today are pretty different from other elections and we ignore them at our peril.
As I mentioned the other day, I am seeing many former Labour voters switching to Lib Dem. Some of this is down to disillusionment with Labour and some because it no longer seems a “wasted vote”. At the same time, it’s clear that a lot of younger people, including first-time voters, feel more enthused by Clegg than the other leaders. All this bodes very well for a huge surge in Lib Dem votes.
It could also give us Cameron. What you don’t mention, Alastair, is the story in today’s Guardian that says “concern in Labour circles is growing that a vote for the Lib Dems in some seats will make a Tory government more likely”. Hence the pressure group, Compass, is now asking its members to back tactical voting to keep the Tories out. If they agree, Compass will provide information to help people decide how to use their votes to greatest effect.
Finally, apropos your hero, Alastair, I’m trying so hard not to say this but is he going to sing, “Oh my Darling I love you and I always will”? Sorry.
When you were advising Blair, his image was 100% what won three elections for you. Now that you have adopted GB, who was despised by you all for over a decade, you have changed track and as his image is 0% you are preaching substance!
It is just a job for you and when tha New Labour experiment has finally died and the rump of the Labour party has a double digit number of seats only, you will be off extolling the virtues of some washing powder for a living, or advising some charity or QUANGO. It will be a living for you “Chancers” until some other cause catches your fancy.
Meanwhile the decent, hard working, lifelong followers of Labour, as a pricipled way of delivering a humane society, will be left to rot in their own juices, behind you. The public has caught on, and the mould is broken.It is apity that so many good people will have had their beliefs and aspirations so cruelly betraye dby you all.
Blair, Whelan, you, Mandy and even ” Two Shags” singing ” The working class can kiss my a.., I’ve got a million quid at last.”
Hi Alastair
Strategy – Leaders Debate – Economics
Cameron said, in 2008, that government efficiency savings were the oldest trick in the book. Yet he now proposes the use of efficiency savings in place of the governments NI tax increase.
If a question should arise with respect to the validity of efficiency savings, (are they a trick or real?) then what would be Gordon’s response?
Best wishes
David
As ever Alastair – good to here your comments, but i and a few 100.000 other folk are wondering when you and the rest of the Labour team actually DO SOMETHING. You are being taking to the cleaners in this election and i don’t think anyone is listening anymore. How about a neg campaign similar to the Tories, how about proclaiming Labour’s great acheivements of cash for NHS, schools, Surestart, min wage, tax credits – all under threat from the Tories – why don’t you and GB and crew shout this loud – its what people want to hear – not this infernal wittering on about a 6bn Tory black hole – its sounding ridulous. I live in a swing seat and the Tory sea of placades is similar to Third Reich Germany. Nice to take the smirk off their smug faces.
Come on Alastair – liven up for goodness sake.
What is clear from the present mood of the public, is that they are undecided who they will vote for. The tories should have been home and dry, and they’re not.
Instead they are faced with a three way tie to the finish, and that is good news for Labour.
If it is a case of trust, then GB comes out in front with the public. They may not like his media style, but I believe that they can tell the difference between a political giant, and a couple of lightweight.
We face serious issues that will demand attention 24/7. Are we really supposed to believe,that Cameron and Clegg will do that?
It seems the more the public, are encouraged to think about the choices (the serious choices), they will turn to the reliable, serious candidate.
We are in uncharted territory now. The public are no longer being brain-washed by media barons, to the extent they were in the past. The people are asking the questions now, and the Labour party must keep coming up with the answers.
The third debate can still be a game-changer, the way the first was. It could also be more decisive, given that it will be only 7 days before polling day. An appeal for serious thinking, and an explanation why, are crucial for a Labour victory. By making the public understand the choices that are required, and the weight of the task at hand, the Labour party will be in the strongest position come polling day, but only by giving the right answers.
As Gordon says – it’s answer time.
Why are there no women in any of the campaigns? I thought there was supposed to be a focus on convincing women voters …. where/what is it?
Yes, we fight to win. Alastair- please tell Gordon & team: BE POSTIVE. Negative attacks on Tory cutbacks are getting stale. You can’t sell something just by talking down a competitor. We have to make ourselves look good have to spell out the benefits of what you are selling.
We have to make ourselves look good. Labour has been working. For instance the minimum wage, devolution, civil partnerships & saving the banking system. Wish I still had John Prescott’s 1997 pledge card.
Chris, London leaflet deliverer